The Korean Peninsula's Evolving Strategic Landscape

Assessing Five Emerging Status Quos.

Jun 29 • Gabriela Bernal

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Is Denuclearization Dead?

Xi's silence on the subject spoke volumes.

Jun 10 • Gabriela Bernal

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Pyongyang's Great Power Strategy

North Korea is increasingly the one setting the terms of engagement with the world's major powers.

Jun 8 • Gabriela Bernal

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Peaceful Coexistence: The Challenging Path Forward

The pursuit of peaceful coexistence may be Seoul's most pragmatic DPRK policy shift in decades.

Jun 4 • Gabriela Bernal

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May 2026

Shared Concerns Driving Closer ROK-Japan Cooperation

Common pressures are bringing Seoul and Tokyo closer together, but the foundations of the relationship remain fragile.

May 27 • Gabriela Bernal

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Coexistence over Unification: What the DPRK's New Constitution Signals for inter-Korean Relations

In the long term, the move could facilitate a shift toward stable coexistence on the Peninsula.

May 12 • Gabriela Bernal

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April 2026

The US-ROK Intelligence Rift and Seoul's Efforts for Greater Defense Autonomy

The ongoing incident underscores Seoul's need to bolster independent surveillance capabilities.

Apr 29 • Gabriela Bernal

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March 2026

How the Iran Conflict is Testing an Already Strained US-ROK Alliance

While the alliance remains irreplaceable, Seoul will have to navigate it more flexibly as American priorities and plans grow less predictable.

Mar 25 • Gabriela Bernal

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North Korea's Succession Question: The Future of the Kim Dynasty

The Inaugural Report of the Strategic Insights Series.

Mar 16 • Gabriela Bernal

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The Iran Conflict: Implications for U.S.-North Korea Diplomacy Moving Forward

Events in Iran will likely deepen Pyongyang’s nuclear resolve and its distrust of Trump.

Mar 3 • Gabriela Bernal

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February 2026

North Korea’s Ninth Party Congress and the Future of Inter-Korean Relations

Kim Jong Un says Seoul has been "forever" removed from the category of compatriots.

Feb 27 • Gabriela Bernal

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Shift in Pyongyang's Tone: Small but Positive Signal | Changing Currents

A Rare Word of Appreciation from Pyongyang.

Feb 19 • Gabriela Bernal

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